Custer, Gallipoli, and the Planning Fallacy


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“Man plans, God laughs” – Yiddish Proverb   We’ve all heard it…”What does your project plan say?”…”Does this match your plan?”…”Have you written a plan?” An outsize component of enterprise IT is the creation and reliance on a project plan. For many organizations the existence of a plan is paramount to success in any endeavor.…


I’ve always liked the Helmuth Karl Bernhard Graf von Moltke quote:

The tactical result of an engagement forms the base for new strategic decisions because victory or defeat in a battle changes the situation to such a degree that no human acumen is able to see beyond the first battle.

Or to put it more simply, “No plan survives contact with the enemy.”